Acceleration and interannual variability of creep rates in mountain permafrost landforms (rock glacier velocities) in the European Alps in 1995 2022

Andreas Kellerer-Pirklbauer*, Xavier Bodin, Reynald Delaloye, Christophe Lambiel, Isabelle Gärtner-Roer, Mylène Bonnefoy-Demongeot, Luca Carturan, Bodo Damm, Julia Eulenstein, Andrea Fischer, Lea Hartl, Atsushi Ikeda, Viktor Kaufmann, Karl Krainer, Norikazu Matsuoka, Umberto Morra Di Cella, Jeannette Noetzli, Roberto Seppi, Cristian Scapozza, Philippe SchoeneichMartin Stocker-Waldhuber, Emmanuel Thibert, Matteo Zumiani

*Korrespondierende/r Autor/-in für diese Arbeit

Publikation: Beitrag in einer FachzeitschriftArtikelBegutachtung

Abstract

Cryospheric long-Term timeseries get increasingly important. To document climate-related effects on long-Term viscous creep of ice-rich mountain permafrost, we investigated timeseries (1995 2022) of geodetically-derived Rock Glacier Velocity (RGV), i.e. spatially averaged interannual velocity timeseries related to a rock glacier (RG) unit or part of it. We considered 50 RGV from 43 RGs spatially covering the entire European Alps. Eight of these RGs are destabilized. Results show that RGV are distinctly variable ranging from 0.04 to 6.23 m a-1. Acceleration and deceleration at many RGs are highly correlated with similar behaviour over 2.5 decades for 15 timeseries. In addition to a general long-Term, warming-induced trend of increasing velocities, three main phases of distinct acceleration (2000 2004, 2008 2015, 2018 2020), interrupted by deceleration or steady state conditions, were identified. The evolution is attributed to climate forcing and underlines the significance of RGV as a product of the Essential Climate Variable (ECV) permafrost. We show that RGV data are valuable as climate indicators, but such data should always be assessed critically considering changing local factors (geomorphic, thermal, hydrologic) and monitoring approaches. To extract a climate signal, larger RGV ensembles should be analysed. Criteria for selecting new RGV-sites are proposed.

Originalspracheenglisch
Aufsatznummer034022
FachzeitschriftEnvironmental Research Letters
Jahrgang19
Ausgabenummer3
DOIs
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 1 März 2024

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Erneuerbare Energien, Nachhaltigkeit und Umwelt
  • Allgemeine Umweltwissenschaft
  • Öffentliche Gesundheit, Umwelt- und Arbeitsmedizin

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