Change point detection with stable AR(1) errors

Alina Bazarova*, István Berkes, Lajos Horváth

*Korrespondierende/r Autor/-in für diese Arbeit

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/KonferenzbandBeitrag in einem KonferenzbandBegutachtung

Abstract

In this paper we develop two types of tests to detect changes in the location parameters of dependent observations with infinite variances. We consider the case of autoregressive processes of order one with independent innovations in the domain of attraction of a stable law. If the d largest (in magnitude) observations are removed from the sample, then the standard CUSUM process developed for weakly dependent observations with finite variance can be used assuming that 𝑑=𝑑(𝑛)→∞ and d(n)∕n → 0 as n, the sample size, tends to ∞. We study two types of statistics. In case of the maximally selected CUSUM process we estimate the long run variance by kernel estimators and we develop the corresponding change point test. We also propose ratio statistics which do not depend on the long run variances. Monte Carlo simulations illustrate that the limit results can be used even in case of small and moderate sample sizes.
Originalspracheenglisch
TitelAsymptotic Laws and Methods in Stochastics
Herausgeber (Verlag)Springer
Seiten179-193
ISBN (Print)978-1-4939-3075-3
DOIs
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2015
VeranstaltungAsymptotic methods in stochastics - Miklós Csörgő is 85 - Ottawa, Kanada
Dauer: 9 Juli 201314 Juli 2013

Publikationsreihe

NameFields Institute Communications
Band76

Konferenz

KonferenzAsymptotic methods in stochastics - Miklós Csörgő is 85
Land/GebietKanada
OrtOttawa
Zeitraum9/07/1314/07/13

Fields of Expertise

  • Information, Communication & Computing

Treatment code (Nähere Zuordnung)

  • Basic - Fundamental (Grundlagenforschung)

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